Australian US Alliance talks - Politics Forum.org | PoFo

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#14104969
http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/latest/153 ... -in-perth/


Hillary Clinton arrives in Perth

United States Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has touched down in Australia ahead of this week's annual Australia-United States Ministerial (AUSMIN) meetings.

Mrs Clinton flew into Western Australia amid massive security, with Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta to fly in later on Tuesday.

A motorcade of 11 cars and three buses met Mrs Clinton, along with Defence Minister Stephen Smith and Foreign Minister Bob Carr, West Australian Premier Colin Barnett and Australian ambassador to the US Kim Beazley.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard will lead talks with the US delegation, having arrived separately in Perth on Wednesday.

AUSMIN is the highest-level forum for Australia and US consultation on foreign policy, defence and strategic issues.

After AUSMIN, Mrs Clinton is to travel to Adelaide to meet Australian business leaders and visit Techport Australia, as well as pay a visit to family friends.

While here, talks will cover a sweep of regional issues important to both nations, but a main focus will be the potential increase in the American military presence at northern Australian air bases, which could also mean a higher rotation of US marines through Darwin.

The future of Afghanistan will also be discussed.

Late last week, Mr Smith dismissed reports that cuts to Australia's defence budget would be on the agenda.



Hmm, I wonder if the matter of Labor defense cut backs ought to be on the agenda? Is Australia 'freeloading' on the alliance? Or is it good and proper for the government to cut back on defense, amongst other things, so to ensure there is plenty of money for 'pork barrelling' at next year's election?
#14105955
Australia has and continues to be in the top 20 countries for military spending in the world at 1.8% of GDP, that is a respectable rate and output for a middle power and is more than some of the US's European allies (Germany only 1.3%).

If anyone is free loading and taking the power of its allies for granted in our neighbourhood its New Zealand, they only spend 1.2%.
#14106591
Defence has to wear its share of cuts to the budget just as all the public service.

This new found fiscal responsibility by Labor is refreshing however had it not gone on a spending binge for its first 4 years the level of cuts would not be necessary.
#14107536
We live in a time of a changing balence of power in our region. Now is the time to ensure our military is a credible force. We need a military that is well trained, equipt to fight a modern war, and ready to deploy for action.

To understand what level of defense spending Australia ought set, we need to consider what military commitments we have. Our place in the region as a military power is to provide reassurance to SE Asian countries that they can depend on our support in the case of a military crisis. If there is a lack of confidence in our ablity to support our regional allies, those nations will not be prepared to stand up against aggression and will move into the sphere of influence of other powers.


http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?v=132

This chart shows Australia ranks 43 in terms of GDP spent on defense, a similar level to the Solomon Islands.


Singapore, ranking 17 for GDP spent on defense, has long been asking Australia to spend more and stand at a higher level of readiness inorder to support SE Asia in the event of aggression. At present, we are trying to upgrade the navy, airforce and army to modern standards. These programs are long over due. Consider some examples:

-In the gulf war, Australian hornets were unable to fly missions in contested airspace due to a lack of modern electronic defenses.

-The armoured corp is currently unable to train due to lack of funding to run their tanks. This means they won't be ready if a crisis occurs.

-The reserve armoured cavalry drive landcrusiers rather than armoured vechicals. Their are not ready for combat.


It costs money to run a modern military, particularly as we need a capable navy. If we treat the military as just another public service and cut funding to suit domestic politics, then we will not be able to show a credible military capacity, our allies in the region will fall under the influence of other powers, and our place in the the world will become increasingly precarious as we find ourselves policitcally isolated in our own region.



Only fools consider military affairs as a 'public service'. To cut back on defense, especially at a time in history such as we live in, inorder to create a surplus to aid 'pork barrelling' at the next election to buy votes is very poor goverance. To invite a foriegn power to set up bases and then cut back on our own defense is the high of stupidity. The Americans are right to accuss Australia of freeloading.
#14107592
Military spending of 2% of GDP should be the absolute minimum for all Europe and Australia, really for any country that has any means.

Did nothing big come of the talks? Any publicly acknowledged changes in the US-AUS relations?
#14108327
Rilzik wrote:Did nothing big come of the talks? Any publicly acknowledged changes in the US-AUS relations?



No change. Only minor matters were agreed upon. Increasing the number of marines training in northern Australia, shifting a space junk observatory to Western Australia, etc. Just routine stuff.


Keating had a bit to say though:

http://news.yahoo.com/us-china-clinton- ... 31799.html

Clinton's comments followed a speech on Wednesday by former prime minister Paul Keating, a hero of the ruling Labor Party, in which he said Australia's "former sphere of influence is diminishing."

Keating blamed a lack of foreign policy independence, arguing that Australia had "rolled backed into an easy accommodation with the foreign policy objectives of the United States."



I agree with Keating. This is no fault of the USA though. The blame lies squarely with the bottom rate quality of goverance in contempory Australia. Gillard simply isn't up to the job of leading a nation. Nor is her cabinet suitable for tackling the responsibilities of their posts. These people are good at playing party politics but they lack vision and understanding. The dominate parties are failing at producing capable national leadership.

Keating enjoyed a much more competent government, but governments since have been going down the drain. There is a crisis of confidence in Australian government due to their demonstrated lack of ability.
#14109215
It was Keating himself who was the problem with his government.

Lol at "A hero of the ruling Labor party" instead of "a latham style Labor brawler who happened to make PM and use to swear at people he didn't like an aweful lot, including on live television"!


For posterity: http://www.webcity.com.au/keating/



[mod edit: please stay on topic]
#14109608
Australian military capability since WW2 has always been about playing a supporting role in the US alliance, we have a well regarded special forces but are lacking in things like tanks and self propelled artillery etc.

Also I do not contest that we are losing some influence in the region, but this is not due to us dropping the ball or the fault of a few Labor ministers, rather it is due to the rise of China and an alternative source of funds for SE Asian aide, which is particularly important to the Pacific Island nations.

For me the greatest problem with the military at the moment is the significant cost overuns with several of their procurement programmes.
#14111527
For me the greatest problem with the military is as you mention AVT, the black hole budget. $27 billion/year for 80,000 active troops across all services with hand me down foreign equipment?

95 4th gen combat aircraft
12 Frigates
6 large, underarmed submarines, only enough crew for 1 to be active.
59 tanks.
500 personnel carriers
22 attack helicopters

Christ what a shitty rip. It represents an absolutely token force. How they manage this little with so much money is a feat of creative accounting. This isn't enough to support anything. Keep in mind that this is to supposedly defend a country approximately the size of Europe? Oh boy, wow.
#14111565
AVT wrote:Also I do not contest that we are losing some influence in the region, but this is not due to us dropping the ball or the fault of a few Labor ministers, rather it is due to the rise of China and an alternative source of funds for SE Asian aide, which is particularly important to the Pacific Island nations.



The rise of China, and indeed India, actually has the opposite effect. SE Asian countries become more interested in developing links with countries they think are able to counter balence these two large countries. The US was very close to losing real influence in SE Asia until China became strong and started throwing some weight around. Australia should have increased her influence but hasn't due to both the Howard government and the Gillard government abdicating foreign policy to the USA. Rudd has been too China focused, forgetting about SE Asia and north Asia otherside of China. Indeed, our governments have been obsessed with both the USA and China to the exclusion of all else.

Keating's government did a remarkable job in building links with SE Asia. There is still a memory of this, people I know in Indonesia long for the day when such a philisophy returns to Canberra. But that memory won't last forever. Gillard's government has had a one eyed foreign policy, chasing the big money in China, and global status in America.


AVT wrote:For me the greatest problem with the military at the moment is the significant cost overuns with several of their procurement programmes.



This is a problem. However it is the people who are cutting back on defense spending that are responsible for waste. Forexample, Williamstown dockyard in Melbourne was given a role in building the new destroyers for political reasons, shoring up labour support in that electorate. The fellow running the dockyard is a nuckle head and managed to miss read the plans, almost ruining the ship's keel assembly. Defense contracts would ideally be awarded on the basis of compedence and cost rather than for political reasons.


Igor Antunov wrote:Christ what a shitty rip. It represents an absolutely token force. How they manage this little with so much money is a feat of creative accounting. This isn't enough to support anything. Keep in mind that this is to supposedly defend a country approximately the size of Europe? Oh boy, wow.



Wages and salaries take up a large part of the budget. ADF personel get very high pays compared to other nations. This is to retain highly trained people. In the past many people would leave the services for better payed jobs, taking their expensive skills with them. There is much more I could say about this subject. Suffice to say, you'd think that such highly trained, expensive professionals would be best deployed with decent equipment rather than second rate el cheapo equipment options.


GandalfTheGrey wrote:heavy tanks are an absolute waste. How much did those M1A1s cost? That was a travesty. Our land forces should all be light. We should be spending most on air and sea.


Heavy tanks are very appropriate. Let me present some theory and some historical experience.

First off, tanks have a lot of firepower for the number of crew. Consider what I wrote previously about the ADF being highly paid and expensive. Tanks make the most out of small numbers of well trained soldiers. Tanks can also mount contempory sensors (eg: thermal imaging). This makes a big difference.

Secondly, let's take a look at Australian armour in Vietnam. In that conflict, the only armour initially deployed was the light M113 APC. It weighed in around 11 tons. This vechical proved vunerable to close quarters battles characteristic of the dense battlefield in jungles. Infanry can get close to armour. For light armour, this is fatal. Light armour works best at a distanct where it can employ it's heavy vechical mounted weapons while using it's mobility to stay out of the infantry weapons range. Thin armour vechical blow up real fast when the infantry get close to it.

Eventually Centurian tanks were deployed in Vietnam. They proved very effective close in as the VC's RPG2's couldn't pententrate the armour, even on the sides. The Centurians could move around in the jungle much better than had been expected. They weighed 55 tons and so were able to knock down any trees in their path and crush bamboo. The VC often built bases in dense jungle where lighter armour couldn't go. The M113's, forexample, would run nose up against bamboo stands. The protection and mobility of the Centurians proved very effect and resulted in successful attacks on well fortifed psotions with few casulties to the attacking Australians.

The M1A1 is a very nice jungle tank. It weighs 70 tons, has better mobility than the old Centurians and better protection. It is also capable of destroying any enemy armour encountered. Such a vechical can dominate open areas and operate successfully in more closed terrain.

In general, armour is a good idea for a small but highly trained army. However, you are correct in stating airpower is important. As is naval power. But consider armour is very cheap compared to those two and thus it is difficult to see why the army's armour projects are being cut back.
#14112615
foxdemon wrote:Heavy tanks are very appropriate. Let me present some theory and some historical experience.

First off, tanks have a lot of firepower for the number of crew. Consider what I wrote previously about the ADF being highly paid and expensive. Tanks make the most out of small numbers of well trained soldiers. Tanks can also mount contempory sensors (eg: thermal imaging). This makes a big difference.

Secondly, let's take a look at Australian armour in Vietnam. In that conflict, the only armour initially deployed was the light M113 APC. It weighed in around 11 tons. This vechical proved vunerable to close quarters battles characteristic of the dense battlefield in jungles. Infanry can get close to armour. For light armour, this is fatal. Light armour works best at a distanct where it can employ it's heavy vechical mounted weapons while using it's mobility to stay out of the infantry weapons range. Thin armour vechical blow up real fast when the infantry get close to it.

Eventually Centurian tanks were deployed in Vietnam. They proved very effective close in as the VC's RPG2's couldn't pententrate the armour, even on the sides. The Centurians could move around in the jungle much better than had been expected. They weighed 55 tons and so were able to knock down any trees in their path and crush bamboo. The VC often built bases in dense jungle where lighter armour couldn't go. The M113's, forexample, would run nose up against bamboo stands. The protection and mobility of the Centurians proved very effect and resulted in successful attacks on well fortifed psotions with few casulties to the attacking Australians.

The M1A1 is a very nice jungle tank. It weighs 70 tons, has better mobility than the old Centurians and better protection. It is also capable of destroying any enemy armour encountered. Such a vechical can dominate open areas and operate successfully in more closed terrain.

In general, armour is a good idea for a small but highly trained army. However, you are correct in stating airpower is important. As is naval power. But consider armour is very cheap compared to those two and thus it is difficult to see why the army's armour projects are being cut back.



It really depends on if you view the armed forces as a defensive force or an aggressive force. In terms of defense it makes no sense having heavy tanks as their range is extremely limited, and due to a war preferentially being fought over the large distances of the continent they are too slow and vulnerable to air strikes (we could not hope to maintain air superiority hardly anywhere with 100 fighters). For aggressive conventional and supportive warfare they are great, but all our wars we fight with the US who has more than enough of this capability so really it is just a duplication and waste.
#14113177
AVT wrote:It really depends on if you view the armed forces as a defensive force or an aggressive force. In terms of defense it makes no sense having heavy tanks as their range is extremely limited, and due to a war preferentially being fought over the large distances of the continent they are too slow and vulnerable to air strikes (we could not hope to maintain air superiority hardly anywhere with 100 fighters). For aggressive conventional and supportive warfare they are great, but all our wars we fight with the US who has more than enough of this capability so really it is just a duplication and waste.




I do enjoy discussing miliarty tactics. Thank you for your interest. The matter of heavy armour is going off on a tangent but let me address your points.

Firstly, the idea of a defensive or offencive military is a false dicotomy. Any military can be used in either fashion. We shouldn't thin in terms of building a defensive or offensive army but rather in terms of a capable army for our stategic circumstances.

But let's look a bit more closely at the role of armour in defensive battles. Typically a defensive will be built around postional warfare. There will be two lines of trenches forming a continuous line between impassable terrain features (eg: the ocean shore). The first line will have pickets and some infantry to blunt an attack. The second line will have the local counter attacking force. Should the enemy take the first line of trenchs, an immediate counter attack is launched to throw thm out before they reorganise, are reinforced, and resupplied with ammo. Should this fail, a area reserve lauches a counter attack. That reserve is armoured, due to the need for mobility and protection (enemy artillary will be trying to prevent such a move). Read up on Normandy to see how the Germans used their armour as a reserve.

Even in mobile warfare, tanks will still be employed on the defense. Consider the American drive into Iraq during the second Gulf War. A forward battalion, supported by a company of tanks, seized a bridge head outside of Bagdad in advance of the main force. A republican guard division couter attacked but was thrown back due to the fire power of the tanks and supporting artillary. Those tanks were hull down with a good field of fire. There are plenty of other examples of tanks being used defensively.


I can't understand what you mean by tanks being short ranged. Perhaps compared to aircraft, but this comparision is silly. Tanks preform a very different role. I repeat what I wrote earlier. Tanks aren't expensive so they won't drain resources away from airforce programs. There need be no conflict is choices here.
#14131418
foxdemon wrote:The M1A1 is a very nice jungle tank. It weighs 70 tons, has better mobility than the old Centurians and better protection. It is also capable of destroying any enemy armour encountered. Such a vechical can dominate open areas and operate successfully in more closed terrain.


I have been under the impression for the longest time that the M1A1 was a bad jungle tank precisely because of it's weight. In particular the SE Asian jungles with soft soils, heavy rains, and poor infrastructure would mean it would have a harder time traversing the terrain then some of it's lighter counter parts. That this resulted because it is designed to fight in temperate/cold climates i.e. Europe/US/Russia. That because of this, in some areas/conditions it's at risk of literally sinking into the mud.

M1A1 in mud, although it does get out eventually
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