- 27 Sep 2014 20:47
#14469612
Some marginally interesting news from the political front in Ukraine.
According to the latest survey by the KIIS together with the Ukrainian Fund of Democratic Initiatives (Netherlands) - 12 to 21 September 2014, shortly after the initial ceasefire, the opposition to the Ukrainian government had grown by a bit, and now numbers 39%-42%. Last time the poll was conducted I believe the numbers were more like 30%-34%.
32% plan to boycott the parliamentary election, 3% to spoil the ballot, 5% to vote for pro-Russian parties which most likely won't be on the ballot (CPU, PR), and another 3% to vote for Tihipko's "Strong Ukraine".
This poll also provides a regional breakdown by intended participation, though not by voting intention (i.e. before accounting for whether they're planning to spoil the ballot or whether they're likely to not find the party they're hoping to vote for and leave, etc):
88% and planning to vote in the Western Ukraine.
76% in Central Ukraine
59% in Eastern Ukraine (minus the Donbass ATO area)
57% in Southern Ukraine (minus Crimea)
In the government controlled areas of Donbass, 23.5% are planning to participate in the October election.
So basically the overall rating of the nationalist forces in the areas of Ukraine under government control stands at roughly 58% to 61%, which is decent but still somewhat remarkable since in the Ukrainian mass media that level of support is of course slightly more than 100%.
On the other hand, contrary to my earlier expectations Lyashko isn't beating Poroshenko in rating, and the latter still stands pretty strong. Given that only a month is left till the election, we can probably expect this to still be true at the election date. Especially now with ceasefire in effect - the popularity of the "war party" (of which Lyasko is an informal leader) is probably not going to be very high.
http://www.dif.org.ua/ua/events/rgrgrgrgrg.htm
In the meantime the rebels are reportedly storming the Donetsk airport "in response to the unceasing shelling of Donetsk residential areas".
According to the latest survey by the KIIS together with the Ukrainian Fund of Democratic Initiatives (Netherlands) - 12 to 21 September 2014, shortly after the initial ceasefire, the opposition to the Ukrainian government had grown by a bit, and now numbers 39%-42%. Last time the poll was conducted I believe the numbers were more like 30%-34%.
32% plan to boycott the parliamentary election, 3% to spoil the ballot, 5% to vote for pro-Russian parties which most likely won't be on the ballot (CPU, PR), and another 3% to vote for Tihipko's "Strong Ukraine".
This poll also provides a regional breakdown by intended participation, though not by voting intention (i.e. before accounting for whether they're planning to spoil the ballot or whether they're likely to not find the party they're hoping to vote for and leave, etc):
88% and planning to vote in the Western Ukraine.
76% in Central Ukraine
59% in Eastern Ukraine (minus the Donbass ATO area)
57% in Southern Ukraine (minus Crimea)
In the government controlled areas of Donbass, 23.5% are planning to participate in the October election.
So basically the overall rating of the nationalist forces in the areas of Ukraine under government control stands at roughly 58% to 61%, which is decent but still somewhat remarkable since in the Ukrainian mass media that level of support is of course slightly more than 100%.
On the other hand, contrary to my earlier expectations Lyashko isn't beating Poroshenko in rating, and the latter still stands pretty strong. Given that only a month is left till the election, we can probably expect this to still be true at the election date. Especially now with ceasefire in effect - the popularity of the "war party" (of which Lyasko is an informal leader) is probably not going to be very high.
http://www.dif.org.ua/ua/events/rgrgrgrgrg.htm
In the meantime the rebels are reportedly storming the Donetsk airport "in response to the unceasing shelling of Donetsk residential areas".